2021 National Indlulamithi Barometer

Gwara Gwara

iSbhujwa

Nayi le Walk

The National 2021 Indlulamithi Barometer measures trends from July 2020 – May 2021, reflecting South Africa’s experience of the Covid 19 pandemic. It shows that South Africa is continuing to move deeper into the Gwara Gwara scenario during the course of the pandemic, marking a continued decline in social cohesion levels compared with 2020.

Key Driving Forces

The indicators measured by the Barometer represent the underlying key driving forces. The key driving forces are conceptual areas most likely to shape social cohesion in South Africa going forward. They serve as the scaffolding for the scenario storylines. The key driving forces of the scenario storylines are social inequality; institutional capacity and leadership; and resistance, resentment & reconciliation. The Barometer is produced annually by Social Surveys Africa on behalf of the Indlulamithi Scenarios Foundation.

Read more about our methodology here.

Nayi le Walk

iSbhujwa

Gwara Gwara


Nayi le Walk

iSbhujwa

Gwara Gwara


Nayi le Walk

iSbhujwa

Gwara Gwara

In Conclusion

When viewed according to the three key driving forces, the 2021 Barometer shows that the Gwara Gwara scenario is for the first time dominant across all Key Driving Forces. In spite of downward shifts in a number of indicators, those indicators which point to the Nayi le Walk scenario in the Institutional Capacity & Leadership dimension have remained stable.